Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.281830 2.608048 2.965539 3.386570 3.869154 4.405345 5.046786
2025-08-03 1.756094 2.190626 2.710704 3.379936 4.219760 5.240781 6.579499
2025-08-10 1.457582 1.929983 2.530468 3.351570 4.448297 5.867211 7.849885
2025-08-17 1.239746 1.723096 2.368355 3.295569 4.598932 6.373525 8.986699
2025-08-24 1.113466 1.614172 2.311704 3.358373 4.896837 7.087368 10.465166
2025-08-31 1.009430 1.519364 2.257293 3.408306 5.169238 7.779326 11.974644
2025-09-07 0.905914 1.410683 2.166730 3.388186 5.326139 8.305662 13.279721
2025-09-14 0.809714 1.300829 2.060069 3.327022 5.405748 8.711549 14.427287
2025-09-21 0.734430 1.214784 1.979690 3.295389 5.523153 9.180297 15.715865
2025-09-28 0.666128 1.132307 1.895517 3.246213 5.601963 9.586618 16.932892
2025-10-05 0.654882 1.143547 1.965750 3.462354 6.150154 10.833140 19.738074
2025-10-12 0.611932 1.095446 1.929814 3.488640 6.365259 11.516998 21.599226
2025-10-19 0.580465 1.068756 1.935842 3.604362 6.779855 12.647537 24.513554
2025-10-26 0.532800 1.008460 1.877208 3.598245 6.974777 13.409545 26.851091
2025-11-02 0.487857 0.947865 1.810728 3.567957 7.116600 14.081104 29.086160
2025-11-09 0.444644 0.885665 1.734171 3.508246 7.191129 14.625030 31.122784
2025-11-16 0.420481 0.858297 1.721954 3.575212 7.528766 15.733875 34.485354
2025-11-23 0.397113 0.829899 1.704402 3.628457 7.842348 16.825569 37.946309
2025-11-30 0.368660 0.787846 1.654436 3.607002 7.991763 17.581550 40.748186
2025-12-07 0.339050 0.740212 1.587857 3.541783 8.036234 18.110438 43.090310
2025-12-14 0.315017 0.702226 1.538023 3.508054 8.147289 18.799359 45.896627
2025-12-21 0.291729 0.663514 1.482704 3.455620 8.208458 19.378714 48.508101
2025-12-28 0.291579 0.677354 1.545999 3.686091 8.966909 21.687673 55.743590